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FDA Decisions Expected: October 2025

Your monthly synopsis of new drugs expected to hit the market 

September 17, 2025

Drug pipeline for October 2025

At Prime Therapeutics (Prime), we have positioned ourselves to best prepare our clients to manage new drugs. Our clinical and trade relations teams keep a keen eye on drugs awaiting approval by the United States (U.S.) Food and Drug Administration (FDA).
October 2025: semaglutide (Rybelsus) 
Novo Nordisk submitted a supplemental new drug application (sNDA) to the FDA for oral semaglutide (Rybelsus) to reduce the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (cardiovascular [CV] death, non-fatal heart attack or non-fatal stroke) in people with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) and established cardiovascular disease (CVD) and/or chronic kidney disease (CKD). The sNDA was based on results from the Phase 3, double-blind, parallel-group, placebo-controlled cardiovascular outcomes trial, SOUL.¹ The trial reported a 14% reduction in the risk of MACE compared to placebo when added to standard of care in patients with T2DM and established CVD and/or CKD. If approved, Rybelsus will be the first oral glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonist indicated to reduce the risk of MACE. 
October–December 2025: aflibercept (AVT06) 
Alvotech and Teva are awaiting FDA approval of AVT06, a biosimilar candidate for the vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) inhibitor aflibercept (Eylea) by Regeneron. Eylea is indicated for the treatment of ophthalmic conditions, such as neovascular age-related macular degeneration (wet AMD), macular edema following retinal vein occlusion (RVO), diabetic macular edema (DME) and diabetic retinopathy. If approved, AVT06 will join multiple other aflibercept biosimilars approved in the U.S. 
October–December 2025: denosumab (MB09)  
Amneal and mAbxience are awaiting FDA approval of MB09, a biosimilar candidate for the RANK ligand (RANKL) inhibitor denosumab. The denosumab reference products are Prolia and Xgeva, by Amgen. Prolia is indicated to treat osteoporosis or increase bone mass in select men and women who are at high risk for bone fracture. Xgeva is indicated for use in certain patients with cancers affecting the bone. If approved, MB09 will join multiple other denosumab biosimilars in the U.S.  
October–December 2025: golimumab (AVT05) 
Alvotech is awaiting FDA approval of AVT05, a biosimilar candidate for the tumor necrosis factor (TNF) blocker golimumab (Simponi, Simponi Aria). The golimumab reference products are indicated for the treatment of select adults with rheumatoid arthritis, psoriatic arthritis, ankylosing spondylitis and ulcerative colitis. If approved, AVT05 will be the first golimumab biosimilar in the U.S. 
October–December 2025: imlunestrant 
Imlunestrant, a next-generation, brain-penetrant, oral selective estrogen receptor degrader (SERD) by Eli Lilly, is awaiting FDA approval for patients with estrogen receptor-positive (ER+), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2-) metastatic breast cancer. Topline data from the Phase 3, open-label EMBER-3 clinical trial among patients with estrogen receptor 1 (ESR1) gene mutations who received prior endocrine therapy revealed a median progression-free survival (PFS) of 5.5 months with imlunestrant compared to 3.8 months with placebo (hazard ratio [HR], 0.62; p<0.001).² In the overall patient population, imlunestrant plus abemaciclib led to a median PFS of 9.4 months compared to 5.5 months for standard-of-care endocrine therapy (HR, 0.57; p<0.001) in all patients.³, If approved, imlunestrant could provide an alternative to oral fulvestrant or elacestrant (Orserdu), particularly in patients with ESR1-mutant breast cancer. 
October–December 2025: semaglutide (Ozempic) 
Novo Nordisk submitted an sNDA to the FDA for injectable semaglutide (Ozempic) for the treatment of peripheral arterial disease (PAD) in patients with T2DM. According to the Phase 3b, double-blind, placebo-controlled STRIDE study, Ozempic (1 mg) resulted in a superior and clinically meaningful improvement of 13% in maximum walking distance and a mean treatment difference of 39.9 meters on a steep incline compared to placebo at week 52 in adults with T2DM and PAD.⁴ If approved, Ozempic will be the only GLP-1 receptor agonist indicated for the treatment of PAD in patients with T2DM. 
October–December 2025: troriluzole 
Biohaven is awaiting the FDA decision for troriluzole for the treatment of spinocerebellar ataxia (SCA), a rare progressive neurodegenerative disorder characterized by poor balance and muscle coordination. The FDA initially granted a Priority Review, then the agency extended the review period, with a decision now anticipated in 4Q 2025. Troriluzole, a prodrug conjugate of riluzole, also received Fast Track and Orphan Drug designations from the FDA. The primary mode of action of troriluzole is reducing synaptic levels of glutamate. The NDA submission was partly based on topline results from the ongoing single location BHV4157-206-RWE study (NCT06529146), in which troriluzole 200 mg administered orally once daily led to a 50–70% slower rate of decline from baseline in the functional Scale for the Assessment and Rating of Ataxia (f-SARA) in all SCA genotypes at 3 years compared to an external control arm.⁵ Data from the BHV4157-206 study (NCT03701399) also demonstrated disease stabilization in the SCA3 genotype and a reduction in falls in all SCA genotypes compared to placebo over 48 weeks.⁶˒⁷ If approved, troriluzole will be the first and only medication indicated for the treatment of SCA. 
Oct. 2025–Mar. 2026: onasemnogene abeparvovec-xioi (Zolgensma; OAV101IT) intrathecal 
Novartis submitted an application to the FDA in 2Q 2025 for an intrathecal formulation (OAV101IT) of their one-time gene therapy onasemnogene abeparvovec (OAV101IT) for the treatment of spinal muscular atrophy (SMA). In the Phase 3, double-blind STEER trial, treatment with OAV101IT led to a statistically significant 2.39-point improvement on the Hammersmith Functional Motor Scale Expanded (HFMSE) compared to 0.51 points in the sham control arm (p=0.0074) at 52 weeks in treatment-naïve patients with type 2 SMA, who were 2 to < 18 years of age and were able to sit but did not achieve independent walking.⁸ In addition, in the Phase 3b, single-arm STRENGTH study, treatment with OAV101IT in patients 2 to < 18 years of age who had discontinued treatment with nusinersen or risdiplam demonstrated stabilization of motor function over 52 weeks of follow-up. If approved, OAV101IT could provide an alternative to IV-administered onasemnogene abeparvovec (Zolgensma) for the treatment of SMA, particularly for patients who may not qualify for IV administration due to weight restrictions. 
Oct. 7, 2025: nerandomilast 
Boehringer Ingelheim’s oral phosphodiesterase 4B (PDE4B) inhibitor nerandomilast is undergoing a Priority Review for the treatment of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). FDA granted the agent Breakthrough Therapy and Orphan Drug designations for IPF. The Phase 3, double-blind, placebo-controlled FIBRONEER-IPF and FIBRONEER-ILD trials evaluated nerandomilast in patients with IPF and progressive pulmonary fibrosis (PPF), respectively.⁹ Stable treatment with an oral antifibrotic (e.g., nintedanib or pirfenidone) was allowed to continue. Both trials demonstrated twice daily oral doses of nerandomilast (9 mg and 18 mg) significantly reduced the decline in forced vital capacity (FVC) from baseline at week 52, compared to placebo (adjusted mean change from baseline in FVC: FIBRONEER-IPF, -138.6 mL with nerandomilast 9 mg, -114.7 mL with nerandomilast 18 mg, -183.5 mL with placebo; FIBRONEER-ILD, -84.6 mL with nerandomilast 9 mg, -98.6 mL with nerandomilast 18 mg, -165.8 mL with placebo). If approved, nerandomilast will provide another treatment option for patients with IPF, a condition with high unmet need. The FDA is also reviewing nerandomilast for the treatment of PPF with a decision anticipated in early January 2026. 
Oct. 21, 2025: ranibizumab  
Xbrane and Stada are awaiting FDA approval of their biosimilar candidate for the VEGF inhibitor ranibizumab (Lucentis). Lucentis, by Genentech, is indicated for the treatment of wet AMD, macular edema following RVO, DME, diabetic retinopathy and myopic choroidal neovascularization. If approved, Xbrane and Stada’s product will be the third ranibizumab biosimilar in the U.S. 
Oct. 30, 2025: elinzanetant 
Elinzanetant is a dual neurokinin (NK)-1 and -3 receptor antagonist by Bayer submitted to the FDA for the non-hormonal treatment of moderate to severe vasomotor symptoms (VMS) associated with menopause. FDA extended the review time period by 90 days. In the Phase 3, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled OASIS 1 and OASIS 2 trials, elinzanetant led to a statistically significant decrease in the primary endpoint of daily VMS frequency and severity from baseline to weeks 4 and 12 compared to placebo (p<0.001 for all) in postmenopausal participants aged 40 to 65 years experiencing moderate to severe VMS.¹⁰ At week 4, 62.8% and 62.2% of patients in the elinzanetant groups achieved at least a 50% reduction in VMS frequency in OASIS 1 and 2, respectively, compared with 29.2% and 32.3%, respectively, in the placebo groups. At week 12, 71.4% and 74.7% of patients in the elinzanetant groups achieved at least a 50% reduction in VMS frequency the OASIS 1 and 2, respectively, compared with 42.0% and 48.3%, respectively, in the placebo groups. The Phase 3 double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled OASIS 3 trial also demonstrated reduced VMS at 12 weeks compared to placebo (primary endpoint) and the VMS reductions were maintained for up to 52 weeks.¹¹ In clinical trials, elinzanetant was administered orally once daily. If approved, it will be the first dual NK-1 and-3 receptor antagonist indicated for VMS in the U.S and will compete with Astellas‘ fezolinetant (Veozah), a NK-3 antagonist FDA approved for the treatment of moderate to severe VMS.  

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